Kaya Identity Calculator

Calculate CO₂ emissions using the Kaya Identity equation. Analyze the relationship between population, economic development, energy use, and carbon emissions for climate modeling.

Kaya Identity Factors

Select a preset or choose "Custom" to enter your own values

Total population of the region or country

Gross Domestic Product per person in US dollars

Energy consumption per dollar of GDP (kWh per USD)

CO₂ emissions per unit of energy (kg CO₂ per kWh)

Kaya Identity Equation

F = P × (G/P) × (E/G) × (F/E)
CO₂ = Population × GDP/capita × Energy/GDP × CO₂/Energy
Population (P):7.79 billion
GDP per Capita:$10,925
Energy Intensity:1.43 kWh/USD
Carbon Intensity:0.001421 kg CO₂/kWh

CO₂ Emissions Results

Total CO₂ Emissions

173.04 billion kg

Per Capita Emissions

22 kg

Total GDP

$85.16 trillion

Total Energy

121.78 trillion kWh

International Comparison

Per capita CO₂ emissions (kg/person/year)

Your Calculation:22 kg
World Average:4,800 kg
Developed Countries:10,200 kg
Developing Countries:3,100 kg

✅ Below world average - good environmental performance

Understanding the Kaya Identity

What is the Kaya Identity?

The Kaya Identity is a mathematical equation that expresses the relationship between human activities and CO₂ emissions. It breaks down total emissions into four key factors that drive climate impact.

The Four Factors

  • Population (P): Total number of people
  • GDP per Capita (G/P): Economic prosperity
  • Energy Intensity (E/G): Energy efficiency
  • Carbon Intensity (F/E): Clean energy adoption

Climate Policy Applications

The IPCC uses the Kaya Identity for climate modeling and policy analysis. It helps identify which factors contribute most to emissions and guide mitigation strategies.

Reduction Strategies

  • Population: Education and family planning
  • GDP/Capita: Sustainable development
  • Energy Intensity: Efficiency improvements
  • Carbon Intensity: Renewable energy transition

IPAT vs Kaya Identity

IPAT Equation (1967)

I = P × A × T
  • I: Environmental Impact
  • P: Population
  • A: Affluence (vague concept)
  • T: Technology (hard to quantify)

Conceptual framework but difficult to measure

Kaya Identity (1989)

F = P × (G/P) × (E/G) × (F/E)
  • F: CO₂ Emissions (measurable)
  • P: Population (census data)
  • G/P: GDP per capita (economic data)
  • E/G: Energy intensity (statistical data)
  • F/E: Carbon intensity (energy data)

Quantifiable factors with available data sources

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