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Maximum Drawdown Calculator

Measure investment risk by calculating the maximum peak-to-trough decline

Calculate Maximum Drawdown

$

Highest value reached before the decline

$

Lowest value reached after the peak

Recovery Time Analysis

%

Compound Annual Growth Rate expected for recovery

Maximum Drawdown Results

0.00%
Maximum Drawdown
$0
Absolute Loss

Formula: MD = (Lowest Value - Peak Value) / Peak Value × 100%

Drawdown Risk Levels

0-5%: Very Low Risk
5-10%: Low Risk
10-20%: Moderate Risk
20-40%: High Risk
40%+: Very High Risk

Real-World Examples

SPY (S&P 500 ETF) - March 2020

Peak Value: $276.21

Lowest Value: $222.83

Maximum Drawdown: (222.83 - 276.21) / 276.21 × 100% = -19.33%

Risk Assessment: Moderate Risk - Typical market volatility

Bitcoin - December 2017 to December 2018

Peak Value: $19,252.96

Lowest Value: $3,178.62

Maximum Drawdown: (3,178.62 - 19,252.96) / 19,252.96 × 100% = -83.49%

Risk Assessment: Very High Risk - Extreme volatility

Recovery Needed: 523% gain to break even

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Key Concepts

1

Peak Value

Highest price reached before decline

Starting point for drawdown measurement

2

Trough Value

Lowest price after the peak

Bottom of the decline

3

Drawdown %

Percentage decline from peak to trough

Risk measurement metric

Recovery Requirements

10% Loss11.1% Gain
20% Loss25% Gain
30% Loss42.9% Gain
50% Loss100% Gain
80% Loss400% Gain

Key Insights

📉

Larger losses require disproportionately larger gains to recover

⏱️

Recovery time depends on both drawdown size and growth rate

📊

Maximum drawdown is a key risk metric for portfolio analysis

🎯

Compare drawdowns across assets to assess relative risk

⚠️

Past drawdowns may predict future risk patterns

Understanding Maximum Drawdown

What is Maximum Drawdown?

Maximum drawdown is a financial indicator that measures the largest peak-to-trough decline in the value of an investment, portfolio, or trading account. It represents the maximum loss an investor would have experienced if they bought at the highest point and sold at the lowest point during a specific period.

Why is it Important?

  • Measures downside risk and volatility
  • Helps assess investment risk tolerance
  • Guides portfolio allocation decisions
  • Compares relative risk across investments

Formula Breakdown

MD = (LP - PV) / PV × 100%

  • MD: Maximum Drawdown (percentage)
  • PV: Peak Value (highest point)
  • LP: Lowest Value after peak
  • Result: Negative percentage showing decline

Note: Maximum drawdown is always expressed as a negative percentage. A -20% drawdown means the investment lost 20% of its value from peak to trough.

Recovery Analysis

DrawdownRecovery NeededTime at 10% CAGRRisk Level
-10%+11.1%1.1 yearsLow
-20%+25.0%2.3 yearsModerate
-30%+42.9%3.6 yearsHigh
-50%+100.0%7.3 yearsVery High

Using Maximum Drawdown for Investment Decisions

Portfolio Optimization

  • • Diversify to reduce maximum drawdown
  • • Balance high-return, high-drawdown assets
  • • Use defensive assets during volatile periods
  • • Implement stop-loss strategies
  • • Regular rebalancing to manage risk

Risk Management

  • • Set maximum acceptable drawdown limits
  • • Monitor real-time drawdown levels
  • • Prepare for recovery time requirements
  • • Consider emotional impact of losses
  • • Plan exit strategies for extreme scenarios

Limitations and Considerations

  • ⚠️Historical Focus: Based on past performance, may not predict future drawdowns
  • ⚠️Time Sensitivity: Drawdown magnitude depends on the time period analyzed
  • ⚠️Recovery Assumption: Recovery time calculations assume consistent growth rates
  • ⚠️Psychological Impact: Real investors may not hold through maximum drawdowns
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