COVID-19 Mortality Risk Calculator

Assess personalized mortality risk based on age, sex, and underlying health conditions

Risk Assessment Factors

Age is the strongest risk factor for severe COVID-19

Males have approximately 65% higher mortality risk

Underlying Health Conditions

Select any conditions that apply to you. These significantly increase COVID-19 mortality risk:

Your COVID-19 Mortality Risk Assessment

0.2%
Estimated Mortality Risk
Very Low
Risk Category
Minimal risk of severe outcomes

Risk Factor Breakdown

Base risk (age 35, female):0.2%
Overall estimated risk:0.2%
Less than half the average risk

📋 Personalized Recommendations

Follow public health guidelines including mask wearing and hand hygiene
Maintain physical fitness and healthy diet to support immune system

COVID-19 Mortality Risk by Age Group

Data from Chinese CDC study of over 70,000 COVID-19 cases:

80+ years old

Highest risk group

14.8%
70-79 years old

Very high risk

8.0%
60-69 years old

High risk

3.6%
50-59 years old

Moderate risk

1.3%
40-49 years old

Low risk

0.4%
10-39 years old

Very low risk

0.2%
0-9 years old

Minimal risk

0.0%*

* No fatalities recorded in original Chinese study, though rare cases have been reported globally

🛡️ Prevention Guidelines

💉

Get vaccinated and boosted when eligible

😷

Wear masks in crowded or indoor spaces

🏠

Maintain social distancing when possible

🧼

Practice frequent hand hygiene

🌡️

Monitor symptoms and test when indicated

Risk Level Guide

Very Low (<0.5%)
Standard precautions sufficient
Low (0.5-2%)
Basic protective measures
Moderate (2-5%)
Enhanced precautions needed
High (5-10%)
Strict protection measures
Very High (>10%)
Maximum protection required

⚠️ Emergency Warning Signs

Seek immediate medical attention if you experience:

Difficulty breathing or shortness of breath
Persistent chest pain or pressure
New confusion or inability to wake
Bluish lips or face
Severe or worsening symptoms

Understanding COVID-19 Mortality Risk Factors

Study Methodology

This calculator is based on data from the Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention study published in February 2020, analyzing over 70,000 COVID-19 cases. While this represents one of the largest datasets available, risk estimates may vary by population and healthcare system.

Key Risk Factors:

  • Age: Most significant factor, with exponential increase after 60
  • Sex: Males have ~65% higher mortality risk than females
  • Comorbidities: Chronic conditions significantly increase risk
  • Immune Status: Vaccination and prior infection provide protection

Disease Progression

COVID-19 can present in various forms, from asymptomatic infections to severe illness. Understanding the progression helps assess individual risk and appropriate response measures.

Disease Severity Distribution:

Mild/Asymptomatic:81%
Severe (oxygen required):14%
Critical (ventilation):5%

Important: This calculator provides estimates based on early pandemic data. Actual risk may vary due to new variants, treatments, vaccination status, and healthcare capacity.

⚕️ Important Medical Disclaimer

FOR EDUCATIONAL PURPOSES ONLY: This calculator provides risk estimates based on early pandemic data from Chinese CDC studies and should not replace professional medical advice. COVID-19 risk varies significantly based on vaccination status, viral variants, healthcare system capacity, treatment advances, and individual factors not captured in this model. Risk estimates may not reflect current conditions or apply to all populations. Always consult healthcare professionals for personalized medical advice, vaccination guidance, and treatment decisions. In case of symptoms or exposure, follow current public health guidelines and seek appropriate medical evaluation. This tool cannot predict individual outcomes and should not be used for medical decision-making.