Implied Probability Calculator

Calculate the implied probability from betting odds - American, decimal, and fractional formats

Calculate Implied Probability

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Amount won on $100 bet

Implied Probability Results

0.00%
Implied Probability
Likelihood of the event occurring based on the odds
0%
Probability Against
Likelihood of the event not occurring

Formula Used

Implied Probability = 100 / (0 + 100) × 100

Example Calculation

Basketball Game Example

Team: Golden State Warriors vs Chicago Bulls

Bet: Warriors to win

American Odds: -150

Interpretation: Need to bet $150 to win $100

Calculation Steps

1. Identify odds type: Negative (-150)

2. Apply negative odds formula: 150 / (150 + 100)

3. Calculate: 150 / 250 = 0.6

4. Convert to percentage: 0.6 × 100 = 60%

Result: 60% implied probability Warriors win

Odds Formats Explained

A

American Odds

Positive: profit on $100 bet

Negative: bet needed to win $100

Examples: +150, -200

D

Decimal Odds

Total return per unit bet

Examples: 2.50, 1.75

F

Fractional Odds

Profit per unit bet

Examples: 3/2, 5/1

Betting Tips

Lower implied probability = higher payout

Bookmakers add margin to true probabilities

Compare odds across different bookmakers

Implied probability helps assess bet value

Understanding Implied Probability

What is Implied Probability?

Implied probability is the likelihood of an event occurring based on betting odds. It represents the percentage chance of an outcome as suggested by the bookmaker's odds, converted into a probability format that's easier to understand.

Why is it Important?

  • Compare the true likelihood with bookmaker's assessment
  • Identify value bets where odds may be favorable
  • Better understand risk vs. reward in betting
  • Make more informed betting decisions

Calculation Formulas

American Odds

Positive: 100 / (odds + 100) × 100

Negative: |odds| / (|odds| + 100) × 100

Decimal Odds

(1 / decimal odds) × 100

Fractional Odds

denominator / (numerator + denominator) × 100

Note: Bookmaker margins mean total implied probabilities for all outcomes usually exceed 100%.