Residual Calculator

Calculate residuals for linear regression analysis and assess model accuracy

Data Input & Regression

Data Points

1.
2.

Residual Formula

Individual Residual

e = y - ŷ

e: Residual

y: Observed value

ŷ: Predicted value

Sum of Squared Residuals

Σ(e²) = e₁² + e₂² + ... + eₙ²

Quick Example

Given Data

Points: (1, 4), (2, 7), (3, 5)

Model: y = 2x + 2

Calculations

Point 1: e₁ = 4 - 4 = 0

Point 2: e₂ = 7 - 6 = 1

Point 3: e₃ = 5 - 8 = -3

Σ(e²) = 0² + 1² + (-3)² = 10

Interpretation Guide

Positive residuals: observed value > predicted

Negative residuals: observed value < predicted

Smaller residuals indicate better model fit

Random residual patterns suggest good linear fit

Understanding Residuals in Linear Regression

What are Residuals?

Residuals are the differences between observed values and predicted values in a regression model. They represent the "error" or unexplained variation in each data point and are crucial for assessing model accuracy and validity.

Key Applications

  • Model validation and accuracy assessment
  • Identifying outliers and unusual observations
  • Checking linear regression assumptions
  • Comparing different regression models

Statistical Measures

Sum of Squared Residuals (SSR)

Total squared deviation from the regression line. Lower values indicate better model fit.

Mean Squared Error (MSE)

Average squared residual. Used to compare models and calculate RMSE.

R-squared (R²)

Proportion of variance explained by the model. Values closer to 1 indicate better fit.

Residual Analysis Best Practices

Pattern Recognition

Random residual scatter suggests appropriate linear model. Patterns may indicate non-linear relationships.

Outlier Detection

Large residuals (typically |e| > 2-3 standard deviations) may indicate outliers or model inadequacy.

Model Comparison

Compare SSR, MSE, and R² values across different models to select the best performing one.